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S262                                                   Int J Earth Sci (Geol Rundsch) (2010) 99 (Suppl 1):S243–S264

           active compression (eastern Marche–Adriatic region,  among the ABT, the SBT and the STC indicate comparable
           mainland-southern Sicily and northern Sicily offshore)  seismogenic potential to ongoing compression along the
           (Figs. 1, 3). The surface and depth geometry of the  Apennine–Maghrebian thrust front, with evident implica-
           seismogenic volumes involved in the deformations were  tions in terms of seismic hazard implications.
           assumed from previous papers (Lavecchia et al. 2007a, b),
           where they had been constrained from integrated geologi-
           cal–seismological data.
             The errors involved in the evaluation of the crustal  References
           deformation using seismicity catalogue may be significant,
           owing to the possible restrictions on the validity of the  Aki K, Richards P (1980) Quantitative seismology. Theory and
                                                                  methods. Freeman, San Francisco
           adopted formulas, as well as to the uncertainties of the used
                                                              Anderson H, Jackson J (1987) Active tectonics of the Adriatic region.
           parameters, that include not only the completeness and  Geophys J R Astron Soc 91:937–983
           quality of the seismological record, but also the adopted  Azzaro R, Barbano MS (2000) Analysis of seismicity of southeastern
           geometry of the seismotectonic source. The standard    Sicily: proposal of a tectonic interpretation. Ann Geofis 43:171–
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           deviations associated with our solutions were evaluated
                                                              Azzaro R, Barbano MS, Camassi R, D’Amico S, Mostaccio A,
           following the approach described in Papazachos and     Piangiamore G, Scarfı ` L (2004) The earthquake of 6 September
           Kiratzi (1992), which allows the determination of the range  2002 and the seismic history of Palermo (Northern Sicily, Italy):
           of fluctuations of the results, considering all the possible  implications for the seismic hazard assessment of the city. J of
                                                                  Seismol 8:525–543
           random errors of the model parameters by means of a
                                                              Baratta M (1897) Materiali per un catalogo dei fenomeni sismici
           generator of Gaussian noise type. The seismic strain rate  avvenuti in Italia (1800–1872). Mem Soc Geogr Ital 7:81–164

           tensor _ e ij and the velocity tensor (U ij ) components were  Barba S, Basili R, Carafa MMC (2007) Finite element modeling-
           computed for the ABT, SBT and STC seismotectonic       derived slip rates of seismogenic sources (http://diss.rm.
                                                                  ingv.it/fem/S2_D3.8.html), deliverable D3.8 of Project S2
           provinces, with the eigenvalues measured in mm/year and
                                                                  ‘‘Valutazione del potenziale sismogenetico e probabilita ` dei forti
           the direction angles of the eigenvectors expressed as trend  terremoti in Italia’’ INGV/DPC http://www.ingv.it/progettiSV/
           and plunge (table within Fig. 5). In the map of Fig. 5, the  Progetti/Sismologici/sismologici_con_frame.htm
           direction of the eigenvector associated with the highest  Barbano MS, Bottari A, Careni P, Casentino M, Federico B, Fonte G,
                                                                  Lo Giudice E, Lombardo G, Patane ` G (1979) Macroseismic
           absolute eigenvalue (k1) of each province is projected and
                                                                  study of the Gulf of Patti earthquake in the geostructural frame
           the coordinates of the vertex of the polygons, which   of north-eastern Sicily. Boll Soc Geol Ital 98:155–174 http://
           schematise the surface geometry of each province, are  www.ingv.it/progettiSV/Progetti/Sismologici/sismologici_con_
           given. The level of seismic activity in terms of seismic  frame.htm
                                                              Barchi MR, De Feyter A, Magnani MB, Minelli G, Pialli G, Sotera
           potential, expressed as G–R slope, has also been computed
                                                                  BM (1998) The structural style of the Umbria-Marche fold and
           for the three provinces (Fig. 4), which are almost equal in  thrust belt. Mem Soc Geol Ital 52:557–578
           terms of their mean b values (1.1–1.2) and moderately  Basili R, Barba S (2007) Migration and shortening rates in the
           different in terms of their average a values (4.5–4.8).  Northern Apennines, Italy: implications for seismic hazard.
                                                                  Terra Nova 19:462–468
             In all three analysed provinces, the strain tensor is of the
                                                              Billi A, Presti D, Faccenna C, Neri G, Orecchio B (2007)
           reverse-type, with a prevailing sub-horizontal contractional  Seismotectonics of the Nubia plate compressive margin in the
           component (k 1 ) and with shortening rates of 0.3–0.4 mm/  south Tyrrhenian region, Italy: clues for subduction inception.
           year in a nearly WSW–ENE direction across the ABT      J Geophys Res 112:B08302. doi:10.1029/2006jb004837
                                                              Boncio P, Bracone V (2008) Active stress from earthquake focal
           province, of 0.1–0.2 mm/year in a nearly N–S direction
                                                                  mechanisms along the Padan Adriatic side of the Northern
           across the SBT province and of 0.3–0.4 mm/year in the  Apennines (Italy), with considerations on stress magnitudes and
           NW–SE direction across the STC province, respectively.  pore-fluid pressure. Tectonophysics 299:195–210
           These evaluated compressional seismic releases are modest,  Boschi E, Guidoboni E, Ferrari G, Gasperini P, Mariotti D, Valensise
                                                                  G (2000) Catalogo dei forti terremoti in Italia dal 461 a.C. al
           but tectonically controlled and not strongly different in the
                                                                  1997. Ann Geofis 43:843–868
           three regions. This is an interesting result, as in the recent  Caccamo D, Neri G, Sarao A, Wyss M (1996) Estimates of stress
           literature a growing importance in active tectonic terms has  directions by inversion of earthquake fault plane solutions in
           been attributed to the STC belt, where most of the recent  Sicily. Geophys J Int 125:857–868
                                                              Castello B, Selvaggi G, Chiarabba C, Amato A (2005) CSI Catalogo
           Africa–Nubia convergence would be accommodated (Goes
                                                                  della sismicita ` italiana 1981–2002. http://www.ingv.it/CSI/
           et al. 2004; Montone et al. 2004; Pondrelli et al. 2004; Neri  Catalano S, Torrisi S, De Guidi G, Grasso G, Lanzafame G,
           et al. 2005; Billi et al. 2007). Conversely, the seismicity of  Romagnoli G, Tortorici G, Tortorici L (2007) Sistema a pieghe
           the eastern Marche–Adriatic region, and especially that of  tardo- quaternarie nell’area di Catania: un esempio di fronte
                                                                  orogenico attivo. Rend Soc Geol Ital 4:181–183
           the mainland-southern Sicily region, has been underesti-
                                                              Chiarabba C, Jovane L, DiStefano R (2005) A new view of Italian
           mated (Kiratzi 1994; Pondrelli et al. 1995; Jenny et al. 2006;  seismicity using 20 years of instrumental recordings. Tectono-
           Billi et al. 2007). Conversely, similar velocity tensors  physics 395:251–268

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