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G. Lavecchia et al. / Tectonophysics 445 (2007) 145–167 163
structure, which extends from west to east across the Escarpment (Camassi and Stucchi, 1997; Azzaro and
entire Sicilian island, allows us to attribute in a simple Barbano, 2000; Monaco and Tortorici, 2000) and, finally,
way all the mainland and central-southern Sicily major to compression at the outer front of the Calabrian thrust
earthquakes (moment magnitude ≥ 4.5) to one single belt, along the offshore Ionian segment (Gutscher et al.,
regional seismogenic source. The definition of such 2006). We suggest to also consider the likelihood of an
large seismotectonic province, which has a total surface association of the 1693 earthquake with the offshore
2
extent of nearly 16,000 km , may be useful for seismic prosecution of the same SBT segment which was struck
hazard purposes as it overcomes the intrinsic problems by the 1818 Catania event. This alternative working hy-
in the location and magnitude estimation of historical pothesis is at the moment extremely preliminary and
earthquakes, that do not have to be so bound, and at the further research on this topic is required.
same time helps to individuate potentially seismic areas
also in the absence of historical and instrumental record. Acknowledgments
During the last 400 years, a lower level of seismic
activity and of energy release has characterized the We wish to thank Paolo Boncio, Bruno Pace,
shallow SBT compared to the deep SBT, with an almost Giuliano Milana, Salvatore Barba, Laura Peruzza and
total lack of historical and instrumental seismicity in the Pierpaolo Guarnieri for useful, friendly and stimulating
Agrigento–Licata central zone (dotted area in Fig. 9). discussions at different stages of the paper. Two
Available data do not permit us to infer if this deficit, anonymous reviewers and the editor Mike Sandiford
which is the equivalent of a magnitude 6 event, might be are kindly acknowledged for their critical reading of the
due to aseismic slip along a very flat portion of the SBT, manuscript and for their valuable suggestions. The work
to historical catalogue incompleteness and/or to longer was supported by Ud' A grants to G.L.
recurrence times. We also cannot exclude that the 361
Central Sicily earthquake (M aw 6.6) might have nucleated References
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