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146                         G. Lavecchia et al. / Tectonophysics 445 (2007) 145–167

         of a unique regional-scale seismogenic structure capable to connect the active deformation and the seismic activity of the western,
         central and eastern areas of mainland Sicily and those of central-southern Sicily evidently has strong implications in terms of
         seismic hazard assessment. In fact, it allows the definition of a new homogeneous compressional seismotectonic province, which
         extends between the SBT surface front line and the surface projection of the 25 km SBT depth-contour line. A subdivision in two
         sub-provinces, a shallow one above the 0–10 km SBT segment and a deep one above the 10-to-25 km SBT segment, is also
         considered and the energy released of the associate earthquakes evaluated. To conclude, the proposed model is discussed in
         comparison with other models from the literature and some important open problems are put forwards.
         © 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
         Keywords: Tectonics; Active thrusting; Earthquake; Seismogenesis; Sicily; Southern Italy




         1. Introduction                                  in mainland and central-southern Sicily and to describe
                                                          such an eventual source from the point of view of the 3D
            Reverse and reverse-oblique seismogenic deforma-  geometry, its kinematics and the association with
         tion, controlled by an average nearly N–S low-dip  historical and instrumental earthquakes. Our approach
         compressional stress tensor, is active both in western  will be based on the merging of geological and
         Sicily, where the Belice Valley 1968 seismic sequence  seismological information toward a general seismotec-
         occurred (equivalent moment magnitude reached nearly  tonic interpretation. Moreover, we will not only take
         6.1, Working Group CPTI, 2004), and in eastern Sicily,  into consideration potentially active geological struc-
         where an intense background instrumental seismic  tures developed in Quaternary times, but we will
         activity (magnitude up to 4.6) is recorded within the  consider the long term, Miocene to Quaternary,
         middle and lower crust beneath the Etna volcanic area  geological context. In fact, it is our conviction that the
         (Castellano et al., 1997; Patanè and Privitera, 2001;  understanding of the deformation history and of the
         Patanè et al., 2004; Monaco et al., 2005; Neri et al.,  tectonic style of the elements involved in the progressive
         2005a). Beginning from these evidences, we investigate  development of the Sicilian chain, may substantially
         if they might be both results of expression of ongoing  help to define and characterize the deep shape and the
         compressional activity at the Sicilian front of the  kinematics of the here investigate outermost basal
         Apennine–Maghrebide Cenozoic orogenic belt (Fig.1).  thrust, the SBT.
         The Apennine–Maghrebide thrust system is active and
         seismogenic along the Padanian–Adriatic thrust system  2. Tectonic setting
         in northern-central Italy (Selvaggi et al., 2001; Lavec-
         chia et al., 2003; Montone et al., 2004; Vannoli et al.,  2.1. The structural map
         2004; Piccinini et al., 2006) and possibly active along
         the Ionian front offshore of Calabria (Cita et al., 1984;  The Sicilian Apennines may be schematically des-
         Hieke et al., 2005; Gutscher et al., 2006). The Sciacca–  cribed as a southward-verging fold-and-thrust belt sys-
         Gela–Catania front of the Sicilian sector of the belt has  tem, developed since early Miocene times, through the
         been considered to be inactive, at least since the Late  progressive nucleation of major tectonic units which,
         Pleistocene time by some authors (Butler et al., 1992;  from north to south, involved stratigraphic successions
         Grasso et al., 1995; Lickorish et al., 1999; Chiarabba  pertaining to different Late Paleozoic to Cenozoic pa-
         et al., 2005 among many others) and active, although  leogeographic domains (Ghisetti and Vezzani, 1984;
         only moderately seismogenic, by others (Cristofolini  Catalano et al., 1989; Butler et al., 1992; Catalano et al.,
         et al., 1985; Jenny et al., 2006; Lavecchia et al., 2006).  1994; Lentini et al., 1994; Nigro and Renda, 1999;
         The occurrence of N–S lithospheric strike slip faults  Montanari, 2000). Starting from mid-Miocene times,
         within the Hyblean–Pelagian foreland has also been  these stratigraphic successions were followed by syn-
         considered, in an alternative to compression, to explain  orogenic and late-orogenic sequences representing
         the Belice earthquake in western Sicily, such as the  migrating foredeep filling sediments and piggy-back
         Hyblean earthquakes in eastern Sicily (Argnani, 1987;  basins, which were also involved in the deformation.
         Meletti et al., 2000).                           The entire system is now overthrusted above carbonate
            This paper aims to verify if active thrusting along the  platform deposits of the Hyblean–Pelagian foreland, the
         outermost thrust of the Sicilian belt, here called Sicilian  most advanced thrust front being the Sciacca–Gela–
         Basal Thrust (SBT), is a reasonable seismogenic source  Catania front (Figs. 1 and 2). Beneath the thrust plane,
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