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is subject to secular and periodic fluctuations as well as irregular or random variations.
These variations have been shown to be tightly correlated with the dynamics of the
Atmospheric Circulation Index (ACI) or the ‘Vangengeim-Girs’ Index (Girs, 1974),
which characterises a dominant direction of air mass transport within Atlantic-Eurasian
region. Global climate changes, such as variations in atmospheric circulation and wind
stress, would affect the LOD (Klyashtorin, 1998). The LOD index is measured as the
difference between the actual (astronomical) length of the day and the standard day of
86400 SI seconds (Stephenson and Morrison, 1984). The longest available LOD time
series covers more than 350 years (McCarthy and Badcoc, 1986, Figure 3), but the time
series appears inconsistent (data prior to 1800 displayed little variation in comparison to
the 1800-1984 period, Figure 3). The International Time Bureau in Paris carries out
continuous registration of the LOD since 1800. These records corroborate the above
LOD index over the 1800-1984 period.
Air temperature has been recorded in Europe since centuries and has been
therefore widely used to assess environmental changes on animal populations over a
long-term period (e.g. Gian-Reto et al., 2002). There is, however, no consistent time
series of sea surface temperature (SST) for the Mediterranean before the most recent
period. Some studies, however, showed that air temperature correlates quite well with
inshore sea temperature, so that we used air temperature as a proxy of SST (e.g.
Fromentin and Planque, 1996; Fromentin et al., 1998; Southward et al., 1988;
Beaugrand et al., 2002). We firstly focused on two time series of temperature of the
Northern Hemisphere (NH), because they were the longest ones available: (i) the annual
average of the NH air temperature estimated over the past 150 years from a grid box of
time series of land and ocean surface air temperature (Jones et al., 1997; 1999; 2001;
Parker et al., 1994, Figure 3) and (ii) an annual time series of NH temperature
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