Page 9 - Soldatini2014
P. 9
Local and Global Climate Effects on Storm Petrel Demography
climatic variables (temperature, rainfall, and NAO); c) PCA of the Figure S5 Recruitment probability of males and fe-
breeding season climatic variables (temperature, rainfall, and males storm petrels.
NAO). Abbreviations are as in Table 6. (TIF)
(TIF)
Material S1 Detailed descriptions of model implemen-
Figure S3 Trends of individually based covariates and tation in E-Surge.
demographic traits. a) Time series of climatic indices (DOCX)
considered as candidate covariates in the analysis of survival and
recruitment (PB: Pre-Breeding, B: Breeding, WSR: rainfall, Acknowledgments
WNAO: winter NAO). b). Estimated survival at Marettimo,
confidence intervals in dotted lines. We are grateful to Emanuela Canale, Fabio Lo Valvo, Luigi Pasotti,
(TIF) Marcello Tagliavia and Tomas Lovato. Our thank goes to Ana Sanz
Aguilar whose comments improved a first draft of the manuscript. The
Figure S4 Trends of environmental covariates and comments of three anonymous referees greatly improved earlier drafts of
demographic traits. a) Time series of sea surface temperature, the manuscript. This study was conducted using MyOcean Products.
SST, and chlorophyll concentration, CHL, in the Alboran Sea. b)
Estimated survival and encounter rate at Marettimo’s colony using Author Contributions
Alboran Sea climatic conditions (CI values are nil thus not visible
in the graph). Conceived and designed the experiments: CS YVA OG. Performed the
(TIF) experiments: CS YVA BM. Analyzed the data: CS OG. Contributed
reagents/materials/analysis tools: CS YVA BM OG. Wrote the paper: CS
References OG.
1. Barbraud C, Rolland V, Jenouvrier S, Nevoux M, Delord K, et al. (2012) Effects 20. Blade I, Liebmann B, Fortuny D, van Oldenborgh GJ (2012) Observed and
of climate change and fisheries bycatch on Southern Ocean seabirds: a review. simulated impacts of the summer NAO in Europe: implications for projected
Marine Ecology-Progress Series 454: 285–307. drying in the Mediterranean region. Climate Dynamics 39: 709–727.
2. Wolf SG, Sydeman WJ, Hipfner JM, Abraham CL, Tershy BR, et al. (2009) 21. Cagnon C, Lauga B, Hemery G, Mouches C (2004) Phylogeographic
Range-wide reproductive consequences of ocean climate variability for the differentiation of storm petrels (Hydrobates pelagicus) based on cytochrome b
seabird Cassin’s Auklet. Ecology 90: 742–753. mitochondrial DNA variation. Marine Biology 145: 1257–1264.
3. Thompson DR, Furness RW, Monteiro LR (1998) Seabirds as biomonitors of 22. Lalanne Y, Hemery G, Cagnon C, D’amico F, D’Elbee J, et al. (2001)
mercury inputs to epipelagic and mesopelagic marine food chains. Science of the Discrimination morphologique des sous espe`ces d’Oceanite tempete: nouveaux
Total Environment 213: 299–305. re´sultats pour deux populations me´diterrane´ennes. Alauda 69: 475–482.
4. Watanuki Y, Ito M (2012) Climatic effects on breeding seabirds of the northern 23. IUCNRed List of Threatened Species Available: www.iucnredlist.org, Accessed
Japan Sea. Marine Ecology-Progress Series 454: 183–196. on 1 Oct 2014
5. Daunt F, Afanasyev V, Adam A, Croxall JP, Wanless S (2007) From cradle to 24. Massa B, Sultana J (1991) Status and conservation of the Storm Petrel
early grave: juvenile mortality in European shags Phalacrocorax aristotelis Hydrobates pelagicus in the Mediterranean. Il Merill 27: 5.
results from inadequate development of foraging proficiency. Biology Letters 3:
371–374. 25. Albores-Barajas YV, Massa B, LoCascio P, Soldatini C (2012) Night surveys and
smell, a mixed method to detect unknown colonies of storm petrel (Hydrobates
6. Frederiksen M, Harris MP, Daunt F, Rothery P, Wanless S (2004) Scale- pelagicus). Avocetta 36: 95–96.
dependent climate signals drive breeding phenology of three seabird species.
Global Change Biology 10: 1214–1221. 26. Mante A, Debize E (2012) MEDITERRANEAN STORM PETREL Hydro-
bates pelagicus melitensis, Updated state of knowledge & conservation of the
7. Frederiksen M, Daunt F, Harris MP, Wanless S (2008) The demographic impact nesting populations of the Mediterranean Small Island. Initiative PIM. 20 p.
of extreme events: stochastic weather drives survival and population dynamics in
a long-lived seabird. Journal of Animal Ecology 77: 1020–1029. 27. Albores-Barajas YV, Riccato F, Fiorin R, Massa B, Torricelli P, et al. (2011) Diet
and diving behaviour of the Mediterranean storm petrel (Hydrobates pelagicus
8. Furness RW, Tasker ML (2000) Seabird-fishery interactions: quantifying the melitensis). Bird Study 58: 208–212.
sensitivity of seabirds to reductions in sandeel abundance, and identification of
key areas for sensitive seabirds in the North Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series 28. Cutitta A, Patti B, Basilone G, Bonanno A, Caruana L, et al. (2006) Fluttuazioni
202: 253–264. interannuali nell’abbondanza degli stadi larvali di Engraulis encrasicolus e di
Sardinella aurita in relazione al riscaldamento delle acque superficiali nello
9. Weimerskirch H, Louzao M, de Grissac S, Delord K (2012) Changes in Wind Stretto di Sicilia. 537–540 p.
Pattern Alter Albatross Distribution and Life-History Traits. Science 335: 211–
214. 29. LaFuente JG, Garcia A, Mazzola S, Quintanilla L, Delgado J, et al. (2002)
Hydrographic phenomena influencing early life stages of the Sicilian Channel
10. Gremillet D, Boulinier T (2009) Spatial ecology and conservation of seabirds anchovy. Fishery Oceanography 11: 31–44.
facing global climate change: a review. Marine Ecology-Progress Series 391:
121–137. 30. Patti B, Bonanno A, Basilone G, Goncharov S, Mazzola S, et al. (2004)
Interannual fluctuations in acoustic biomass estimates and in landings of small
11. Jenouvrier S (2013) Impacts of climate change on avian populations. Global pelagic fish populations in relation to hydrology in the Strait of Sicily. Chemistry
Change Biology 19: 2036–2057. and Ecology 20: 365–375.
12. Frederiksen M, Edwards M, Richardson AJ, Halliday NC, Wanless S (2006) 31. Sabates A, Martin P, Lloret J, Raya V (2006) Sea warming and fish distribution:
From plankton to top predators: bottom-up control of a marine food web across the case of the small pelagic fish, Sardinella aurita, in the western
four trophic levels. Journal of Animal Ecology 75: 1259–1268. Mediterranean. Global Change Biology 12: 2209–2219.
13. Rossoll D, Bermudez R, Hauss H, Schulz KG, Riebesell U, et al. (2012) Ocean 32. Sanz-Aguilar A, Massa B, Lo Valvo F, Oro D, Minguez E, et al. (2009)
Acidification-Induced Food Quality Deterioration Constrains Trophic Transfer. Contrasting age specific recruitment and survival at different spatial scales: a
Plos One 7. case study with the European storm petrel. Ecography 32: 1–10.
14. Frederiksen M, Furness RW, Wanless S (2007) Regional variation in the role of 33. Lo Valvo F, Massa B (2000) Some aspects of the population structure of storm
bottom-up and top-down processes in controlling sandeel abundance in the petrels Hydrobates pelagicus breeding on a Mediterranean island. Ringing &
North Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series 337: 279–286. Migration 20: 125–128.
15. Wanless S, Harris MP, Redman P, Speakman JR (2005) Low energy values of 34. Albores-Barajas YV, Massa B, Griffiths K, Soldatini C (2010) Sexual
fish as a probable cause of a major seabird breeding failure in the North Sea. dichromatism in Mediterranean storm petrels Hydrobates pelagicus melitensis.
Marine Ecology-Progress Series 294: 1–8. Ardeola 57: 333–337.
16. Blight LK (2011) Egg Production in a Coastal Seabird, the Glaucous-Winged 35. Grosbois V, Gimenez O, Gaillard JM, Pradel R, Barbraud C, et al. (2008)
Gull (Larus glaucescens), Declines during the Last Century. Plos One 6. Assessing the impact of climate variation on survival in vertebrate populations.
Biological Reviews 83: 357–399.
17. Schreiber EA, J B, editors (2002) Biology of Marine Birds. Boca Raton: CRC
Press. 36. North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Available: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.shtml. Accessed on 30 July 2012.
18. Weimerskirch H, Cherel Y, CuenotChaillet F, Ridoux V (1997) Alternative
foraging strategies and resource allocation by male and female Wandering 37. Servizio Informativo Agrometeo Siciliano. Available: http://www.sias.regione.
Albatrosses. Ecology 78: 2051–2063. sicilia.it/. Accessed on 20 Jul 2012.
19. Alley RB, Marotzke J, Nordhaus WD, Overpeck JT, Peteet DM, et al. (2003) 38. Osservatorio delle Acque. Available: http://www.osservatorioacque.it/. Ac-
Abrupt climate change. Science 299: 2005–2010. cessed on 30 Jul 2012.
PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 9 April 2014 | Volume 9 | Issue 4 | e94526