Page 10 - Assessment
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10                              D. Melaku Canu et al. / Marine Pollution Bulletin xxx (2015) xxx–xxx







































        Fig. 7. Oil slick risk along the Sicilian coastline considering the presence of coastal protected sites, in relation to all six release sites. The qualitative index describes relative
        differences among the areas and seasons.


          The hazard index is characterized by high variability, with  the highest values again on Pantelleria and on some parts of the
        higher values found along the southern Sicily coastline, where  southern Sicilian coast) and again in autumn, when significant risk
        most particles stranded (see Fig. 6). Seasonal variability is also rele-  is present over extended parts of the north-eastern and southern
        vant. As expected, the hazard of stranding increases with the  Sicilian coast as well as Pantelleria Island.
        length of the time window considered. In fact, the hazard index
        is generally negligible in all coastal areas in the first 12 or 24 h,
        with the notable exception of a few islands, including Pantelleria.  4. Discussion
        Three days after a spill, the hazard is still negligible for most of
        the coast under spring conditions but already significant in autumn  The (worldwide) risk analysis by Eckle et al. (2012) shows a
        and winter. The highest values are observed for 10-days spill dur-  decreasing frequency over time of tanker spills, which equalled
        ing the winter and autumn seasons.                   6.6 spills/year in 2010. However, it also indicated increasing trends
                                                             for storage/refinery and pipeline spills, as well as for stationary
                                                             spills related to exploration/production, with a frequency value
        3.3. Risk assessment index                           in 2010 of 0.54 spills/year.
                                                                There are currently several oil producing fields in the SCH, and
          The information on oil spill hazards at the Sicilian coast has  intensive explorations are being conducted throughout the area.
        been used to evaluate the risk of an oil spill affecting specific areas.  The presence of exploitative activities does not necessarily imply
        This was accomplished by combining the spatial information on  the occurrence of spill events. However, the probability of oil spill
        the hazard and site-specific information on ecological sensitivity  events cannot be considered to be zero despite advances in tech-
        related to the presence of habitats with high conservation priori-  nology and safety procedures. Therefore, it is important to put in
        ties, such as Sites of Community Importance (SCI) and Special  place efficient and cost-effective mitigation strategies as well as
        Protection Areas (SPA). Coastal vulnerability is expressed using  proper risk management plans.
        the Ecological Sensitivity Index, ESI.                  Accidents relating to offshore oil and gas operations, in particu-
          SCI and SPA are designed, respectively, under the EC Habitat  lar the 2010 accident at the Deep Water Horizon, have raised pub-
        (92/43/EEC) and Conservation of Wild Birds (2009/147/EC)  lic awareness and prompted a review of EU policies aimed at
        Directives to protect habitats and species considered to be of  ensuring the safety of such operations. The outcome of this process
        European interest. This analysis therefore assumes that the pres-  was the enforcement of the 2013/30/EU Directive on the safety of
        ence of oil slicks at one of these sites would cause a more severe  offshore oil and gas operations. This Directive is meant to work in
        disturbance from the perspective of nature conservation.  synergy with the Directive 2008/56/EC, which addresses the cumu-
          The risk of oil slick index RI at the coast for the 10-day scenario  lative impacts from all activities on the marine environment. The
        is presented in Fig. 7 for each season. The risk is low to medium in  main goal of the 2013/30/EU Directive is to reduce and prevent
        spring, with higher values at sites located on the north-eastern  accidents by responding quickly to emergencies, thus improving
        coast and on Pantelleria Island. Risk increases in summer, (with  safety procedures. Studies on oil spill risk confirm the need for

        Please cite this article in press as: Melaku Canu, D., et al. Assessment of oil slick hazard and risk at vulnerable coastal sites. Mar. Pollut. Bull. (2015), http://
        dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2015.03.006
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