Page 17 - Sella_M_1929
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         low at the present time,      a low which has brought the fishery to its present
         grave crisis.
                b)   This secular fluctuation corresponds to that which has occurred
         in the same period in Portugal         And from the general indications which we
         have it would appear that the fishery in Spain has also had in the last
         century an analogous progress down to the present low pointj from which
         it has begun to recover only in the past two yearso

                This fact is quite important for us because it can be interpreted
         in the sense that the Mediterranean tuna fisheries are subject to the same
         general influences which determine analogous fluctuations of great ampli-
         tude in the Atlantic fisheries, and that therefore the Mediterranean
         fisheries are subject to the oceanographic influence of the Atlantic,
        which can only be manifested in the influx of water from the Atlantic
        through the Strait of Gibraltaro

                It is in fact not very probable, although still          riot precluded, that
         it is a question of influences of a meteorological or other nature,
         operating synchronously but separately in the two regionso

                This is one of the many cases which show how useful would be an
         oceanographic observatory at the Strait of Gibraltar j, the idea of which
        was suggested by Steuer, which would gather data for the study of the
         relations between the two seas and of the seasonal and annual variations.

                c)  The secular fluctuation of the Lusitano-Mediterranean tuna
        fisheries corresponds       with the last secular fluctuation of the herring
        fisheiy at BohuslSn , ^described by Pettersson and Johansen, except for a
        lag of several years.

                And  I note that the existence of these fluctuations has been
         recognized for many centuries now (Ljungman).           Pettersson relates it
        to secular variations in the tides (ill years).            Storrow has also occupied
        himself with the question, placing in evidence analogous fluctuations for
        other fishes.     It is admitted, in any case, that these phenomena are
        provoked by changes which take place successively and alternately in the
        physical conditions of the waters.

                 The analogy between the fluctuations of the Mediterranean tuna
        fisheries and the herring fishery in the Skagerrak appears to conform very
        well to the concept expressed above that our tuna fisheries reflect
        Atlantic influences.      And the proven antiquity of the phenomenon           which
        occurs in Scandinavia augments the probability that that of the tuna
        fisheries has had a periodic character^

               d)   There are specific zones in which the overall effect of the
        secondary fluctuationa of the tuna fisheries , at least those of            a^ certain
        Eimplitude , present   a_ marked analogy.    One of these zones embraces all of
        Sardinia and Tunisia (Sicily with Favignana is separate from it although
        very near).

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