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1636                                                                            L. Ruffino et al.


          Table 2 Significance of explanatory variables and associated  P \ 0.001; n with rats = 74, n without rats = 65), whereas
          statistic parameters in the rat distribution GLM (n = 257;  rat-infested islands [5 ha were not significantly
          b = estimate; SE = standard error of the estimate)
                                                          closer than rat-free islands [5 ha (Mann–Whitney,
          Parameters          b     SE   Wald   P-value   Z = 0.77; P = 0.44; n with rats = 101, n without rats =
                                         statistic        17). Finally, 141 (55%) out of 257 islands were
                                                          B500 m away from either the nearest island C5ha or
          Intercept           3.57  1.07  11.14  ***
                                                          the continent, among which 118 islands (81%) were
          Humans (C)          0.58  0.74  0.61  ns
                                                          B10 ha (500 m is the maximum-recorded distance
          Humans (A)          0.18  0.50  0.13  ns
                                                          ship rats can swim; Russell and Clout 2005). For
          log 10 (area)       2.07  0.36  33.03  ***
                                                          these 257 islands, the mean distance to the nearest
          log 10 (distance continent)  -0.17  0.16  1.07  ns
                                                          source of rats was 3,654 m (SE = 672 m).
          log 10 (distance source)  -1.27  0.31  16.74  ***
          log 10 (elevation)  -0.04  0.05  0.01  ns
          See Table 1 for more thorough information on explanatory  Factors explaining seabird distribution
          variables                                       and abundance on Mediterranean islands
          Significance  levels:  ***  (P \ 0.001);  **  (P \ 0.01);
          *(P \ 0.05); ns not significant
                                                          Island area was positively related to Yelkouan and
                                                          Balearic shearwater presence, Yelkouan and Cory’s
          continent, or presence and intensity of human activ-  shearwater abundance (P \ 0.05), and weakly neg-
          ities. There was no evidence of model inadequacy  atively related to storm petrel presence (P = 0.06;
                         2
          (scaled Pearson v = 219.0; df = 250; P = 0.08). In  Tables 3 and 4). Island elevation was positively
          order to clarify the negative relationship between rat  related to Cory’s and Yelkouan shearwater presence
          presence and distance to the nearest potential source  and Balearic shearwater and storm petrel abundance.
          of rats, we performed Mann–Whitney tests to com-  Limestone substrate was positively related to Yelkouan
          pare, for islands B5 ha and those [5 ha, mean   shearwater abundance and storm petrel presence. Rat
          distances from the nearest source of rats (i.e., island  presence on islands was negatively related to storm
          C5 ha or continent) between rat-free and rat-infested  petrel abundance, but did not influence either the
          islets. Small rat-infested islets B5 ha were signifi-  presence or the abundance of the three shearwaters.
          cantly closer from the nearest source of rats than  Ship rats are present on most islands where the three
          small rat-free islets B5 ha (Mann–Whitney, Z = 3.5;  shearwaters breed (Fig. 3). Distance to the nearest




          Table 3 Statistical significance of explanatory variables in GLMs on seabird presence (b = estimate; SE = standard error of the
          estimate; W = Wald statistic)
                       Calonectris diomedea  Puffinus yelkouan  Puffinus mauretanicus  Hydrobates pelagicus
          Parameters   b     SE  W    P-   b    SE   W    P-   b    SE   W   P-   b     SE  W    P-
                                      value               value              value               value
          Intercept    -4.04 0.99 16.48 ***  -8.79 2.23 15.53 ***  -3.28 92.73 0.00 ns  -6.86 2.12 10.43 ***
          log 10 (area)  0.29 0.26  1.27 ns  1.14 0.53  4.56 *  0.89  0.39 5.33 *  -0.85 0.45  3.49 0.06
          log 10 (elevation)  2.35 0.65 12.92 ***  4.09 1.47  7.74 **  0.16  0.66 0.06 ns  1.69 1.02  2.74 ns
          Substrate      0.08 1.19  0.17 ns  0.34 0.36  0.86 ns  1.92 92.72 0.00 ns  1.38 0.38 14.76 ***
            (limestone)
          Rats (presence)  0.19 0.25  0.58 ns  0.14 0.63  0.05 ns  0.35  0.27 1.68 ns  0.31 0.39  0.6  ns
          log 10 (Dist. near.  0.04 0.26  0.03 ns  -0.27 0.44  0.38 ns  -0.02  0.52 0.06 ns  1.39 0.50  7.59 **
            rats)
          N            179                 135                 69                 100

          See Table 1 for more thorough information on explanatory variables
          Significance levels: *** (P \ 0.001); ** (P \ 0.01); * (P \ 0.05); ns not significant


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