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Rouyer et al.: Wavelet analysis of multiple time series           17




                                                                          dominated by low-frequency oscillations,
                                                                          whereas white noise does not produce
                                                                          such highly autocorrelated signals. On the
                                                                          contrary, the Fourier surrogates identified
                                                                          significant areas in the whole range of fre-
                                                                          quencies. However, their locations were
                                                                          sometimes not consistent (e.g. Portoscuso),
                                                                          and many small areas were identified.
                                                                          These spurious effects were likely to be
                                                                          created by the Fourier surrogates applied
                                                                          on short and non-stationary time series, as
                                                                          explained in ‘Methods’. The beta surro-
                                                                          gates identified significant areas in the
                                                                          whole range of frequencies. However,
                                                                          unlike the Fourier surrogates, the size of
                                                                          the time series and its non-stationarity did
                                                                          not influence the algorithm used to pro-
                                                                          duce the surrogates. The locations of sig-
                                                                          nificant pseudo-cyclic components were
                                                                          well defined, and no spurious effects were
                                                                          detected. This approach thus allowed us to
                                                                          identify cycles significantly different from
                                                                          the expected behaviour of ecological time
                                                                          series displaying similarly coloured noise.



                                                                                 Clustering wavelet spectra
                                                                           Signals with determined time–frequency
                                                                                        properties

                                                                            In order to illustrate how the classification
                                                                          procedure extracts common time–fre-
                                                                          quency patterns to compare the wavelet
                                                                          spectra, we first formed a data set with time
                                                                          series displaying known and controlled
                                                                          properties in time and frequency. Six time
              Fig. 4. Wavelet spectra of the Formica and Portoscuso time series, tested with  series displaying contrasting time–fre-
              different null hypotheses. We used a white noise process, an AR[1] process, the
              Fourier surrogates (Type I) and our class of surrogates (Beta surrogates). Solid  quency properties were simulated, using
              black lines indicate significant areas at the 5% level. The colour gradient, from  sine and cosine functions (Fig. 5). The
              dark blue to dark red, codes for low to high power values. Curved dashed lines:   changes in frequency were either abrupt
                  limit of the cone of influence, the area where edge effects are present  (Fig. 5, time series 2, 3, 5 and 6) or smooth
                                                                          (Fig. 5, time series 1 and 4). Indeed, these
                             Time series results                time series displayed different dynamics compared to
                                                                real ecological time series or outputs from models (e.g.
                The results for the Formica and Portoscuso time  a stochastic version of the Ricker model). However,
              series are presented to illustrate the differences  they allowed us to control both the time and frequency
              between the methods (Fig. 4). The wavelet spectra  properties of the time series, and we could thus obtain
              displayed different significant areas (indicated by solid  wavelet spectra with desired time–frequency patterns.
              black lines in Fig. 4), according to the null model  The dataset with determined time–frequency prop-
              against which they were tested. The spectra tested  erties was first analysed using wavelet analysis (Fig. 6).
              against white noise displayed large significant areas at  The wavelet spectra (WS) displayed clearly different
              low frequencies, whereas the AR[1] process identified  patterns: (1) an increase in frequency with time; (2) a
              significant areas mostly at high frequency (e.g.  decrease in frequency with time; and (3) continuous
              Formica). These results were expected; an AR[1] is  patterns.
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