Page 14 - Sea-level change_2004

ARTICLE IN PRESS
1982 K. Lambeck, A. Purcell / Quaternary Science Reviews 24 (2005) 1969–1988

across the region. A more complete analysis using a from Caesarea (Sivan et al., 2004). The area appears to
much more substantial data set is in progress. be tectonically stable because the present-day position of
shallow marine MIS 5.5 sediments is consistent with
5.1. Carmel coast, Israel little vertical tectonic movement for the past 120 ka and
with the gradient of the Roman aquaduct bringing water
Archaeological evidence from several sites indicates to Caesarea being preservedover 2000 years. The sea-
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that sea levels between 6.3 and6.9 C ka BP occurred level predictions for the range of earth models from
from 4.5 to 7 m below present andthat levels remained Table 1 andfor ice-sheet models in which all melting
below or close to present from 6 ka BP to the present ceasedat 6.8 ka BP are illustrated in Fig. 9a. The abrupt
(Galili et al., 1988; Galili andNir, 1993; Sivan et al., change in gradient at 6.8 ka BP is the consequence of the
2001), consistent with the recent analysis of the well data equally abrupt endof melting at this time andthe

Fig. 9. Comparison of observed and predicted sea levels at four Mediterranean sites. The predictions are for the nominal global ice model with zero
change in ocean volume after 6.8 ka BP, andfor the range of earth-model parameters summarizedin Table 1. (a) The Carmel coast of Israel,
including Caesaria. Upper and lower estimates of sea level are indicated. Data is from various sources summarized by Sivan et al. (2001, 2004). (b)
Peloponnisos, Greece. The data is from several sites (Gulfs of Argolid, Messini, Elos and from Navarine Bay) and the predictions are for Tirins. The
fielddata is from Kraft andRapp (1975) and Kraft et al. (1977, 1980) andhas been summarizedby Lambeck (1995b). (c) Versilia plain, Tyrrhenian
coast of Italy. The fielddata is from Antonioli et al. (1999a).(d) Coˆ te d’Azur, France. The data includes the vermetid and coralline algae information
from Laborel et al. (1994) andarchaeological information from Morhange et al. (1996).