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1582 K. Lambeck et al. / Quaternary Science Reviews 23 (2004) 1567–1598

Fig. 2. Predicted sea levels, based on nominal earth- and ice-model parameters and glacio-hydro-isostatic theory, for four sites in Italy characterised
by their increasing distance from the former northern polar ice caps from Grado lagoon in the North Adriatic to Taormina in Sicily. (See Fig. 1 for
locations.) (b) Departures of predicted sea levels at five locations in northern Sardinia from the mean predicted value for all 12 locations (20), and the
predicted departure from this mean for the east Sardinia site at Orosei (19). (c–e) Predicted earth-model dependence of sea level for the Versilia Plain
core site (1). The six earth models defining the parameter space are characterised by three parameters, an effective elastic thickness of the lithosphere
(km), the effective upper mantle viscosity (Pa s), and the effective lower mantle viscosity (Pa s). The range of parameter used covers values that are
representative of solutions for the Mediterranean and other regions. (c) upper mantle viscosity dependence, (d) lower mantle viscosity dependence,
and (e) lithospheric thickness dependence. (f) The error function at two sites for the predicted sea level resulting from uncertainties in the earth- and
ice-model parameters and the adopted approximate error function (dashed line) for the interval 0–14 ka BP.